Polymarket Trader

axdx

0xafe62424241b9326303ffea1a00c833338aa38fb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $13.38
Realized PnL: $116.32
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by July 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $11.38
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $13.63
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.15
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$2.85

Yes position

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.85
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$2.95

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.37

Yes position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.53

Yes position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.6

Yes position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.25

Yes position

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.85

Yes position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6

No position

Will Salesforce run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.5

Yes position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.07

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.64

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.4

Yes position

Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.33

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the World Economic Forum?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.52

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.45

Yes position

Kristi Noem out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.36

No position

Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the February meeting?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.32

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.29

Yes position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 7+ times during NewsNation interview?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Another critical Cloudflare incident by July 31, 2026?

Yes 45% 15.71 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Down 46% 5.94 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Down 25% 5.89 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Down 37.3% 19.45 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Down 51% 29.06 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Down 2.6% 39.99 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Down 32% 9.76 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Up 49% 9.69 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Up 48% 5.81 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?

No 22% 3.37 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 13?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Up 62.1% 4.92 shares