Polymarket Trader

theqasset

0xaff0b257e6631e5f1b074bbde0c7babb7681216d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $58.59
Realized PnL: $1.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $16.87
Potential payout: $288.46
Potential profit: $271.59
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $0.88

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $1.4
Potential payout: $68.49
Potential profit: $67.09
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$3.6

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 23.9%
Current value: $10.38
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $33.1
Multiplier: 4.19x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $4.83
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $28.5
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $9.99
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $16.33
Multiplier: 2.64x
User PnL: $4.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.75
Potential profit: $21.75
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 57.9%
Current value: $10.15
Potential payout: $17.54
Potential profit: $7.39
Multiplier: 1.73x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.12
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$0.62

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $10.63
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: -$0.52

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.9%
Current value: $1.83
Potential payout: $10.26
Potential profit: $8.43
Multiplier: 5.60x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $0.42
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.59
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$1.58

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.12
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.2%
Current value: $1.28
Potential payout: $6.03
Potential profit: $4.76
Multiplier: 4.73x
User PnL: $0.27

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5AM ET

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $513.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3AM ET

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.11

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $117K on July 31 at 5PM ET?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.14

Yes position

Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.95

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 9AM ET

Ends Jul 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.72

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3PM ET

Ends Jul 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 8AM ET

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.87

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 6AM ET

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.27

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.52

Down position

Solana Up or Down - July 31, 1AM ET

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9AM ET

Ends Jul 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.83

Yes position

Will anyone say "Streaming" during the Q3 2025 Apple earnings call?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2AM ET

Ends Jul 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.42

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 6AM ET

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.08

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 3PM ET

Ends Jul 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.58

Yes position

Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.04

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.03

Yes position

Will anyone say "Channel" during the Q2 2025 Meta earnings call?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.17

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin shake hands for 10 seconds or more?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4AM ET

Ends Jul 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.83

Yes position

Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during September press conference?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Up 45% 11.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Up 47% 10.64 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Down 24% 4.17 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 11?

Yes 15% 33.33 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 10?

Yes 2.2% 45.37 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 10?

Yes 1.9% 52.63 shares
William Saliba: 1+ shots on target AND France vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners AND Will France win on 2026-07-09?

57.6% 8.57 shares
France vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

No 86% 5.81 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Yes 61.5% 32.52 shares
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Hanwha Life Esports 62% 4.84 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Yes 61% 16.39 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 57% 17.54 shares