Polymarket Trader

beili

0xaff12a4b5df17176599ebfe074b472f3f515c92f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $48.03
Realized PnL: $139.06
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $6.01
Potential payout: $6.01
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $5.09
Potential payout: $5.12
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.69

No position

Will Mistral have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.24
Potential payout: $4.24
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $4.22
Potential payout: $4.23
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Russian strike on Poland by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $4.11
Potential payout: $4.12
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $3.44
Potential payout: $3.5
Potential profit: $0.06
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.07

No position

China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $3.15
Potential payout: $3.37
Potential profit: $0.22
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.89
Potential payout: $2.89
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $2.72
Potential payout: $2.88
Potential profit: $0.15
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $2.68
Potential payout: $2.81
Potential profit: $0.13
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $2.21
Potential payout: $2.63
Potential profit: $0.42
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Macron out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.62
Potential payout: $2.62
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will USD/CAD hit 1.70 (High) in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $2.37
Potential payout: $2.42
Potential profit: $0.05
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.28
Potential payout: $2.28
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.28

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.38

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.77

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.48

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.7

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.9

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.59

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 9?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.07

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27

No position

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.04

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.98

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

No position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.73

No position

Starmer out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Starmer out by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 6?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 97.3% 3.06 shares
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?

No 82% 3.88 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

No 73.1% 0.81 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

No 71.2% 5.36 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 93.9% 2.88 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30?

Yes 99.6% 1,500 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30?

Yes 99.5% 196.48 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?

Yes 98.9% 947.25 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?

Yes 98.8% 45 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?

Yes 99.3% 599.7 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?

Yes 99.1% 2,494.7 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 27?

Yes 99.7% 52.07 shares