Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $778.3
- Potential payout
- $832.4
- Potential profit
- $54.11
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $128.3
Polymarket Trader
mr.NobodyNowhere
0xb00323ee0481a014d790c796f6f42316561297e1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.41K
- Realized PnL
- $1.9K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.9%
- Current value
- $62.48
- Potential payout
- $634.28
- Potential profit
- $571.8
- Multiplier
- 10.15x
- User PnL
- $2.48
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.7%
- Current value
- $547.53
- Potential payout
- $610.75
- Potential profit
- $63.21
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $47.53
No position
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $516.17
- Potential payout
- $536.83
- Potential profit
- $20.67
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $16.17
No position
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $506.65
- Potential payout
- $531.91
- Potential profit
- $25.27
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $6.65
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $405.46
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $253.84
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.59
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.54
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.38
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.21
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.72
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.65
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.91
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.72
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 93% 376.34 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 58.9% 575.86 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 66% 151.52 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 66% 151.52 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 65.3% 153.03 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 98.6% 318.72 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 9.5% 634.28 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETUp 97% 1.03 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETDown 14% 14.29 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETUp 51% 13.73 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETUp 49% 6.12 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETUp 17% 5.88 shares