Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $88.14
- Potential payout
- $1.69K
- Potential profit
- $1.61K
- Multiplier
- 19.23x
- User PnL
- -$11.86
Polymarket Trader
surffffdali
0xb0055474ab1e3cd0e1b984773fac61e4c0d41c3e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $748.85
- Realized PnL
- $13.6K
- Win rate
- 55%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $660.71
- Potential payout
- $714.29
- Potential profit
- $53.57
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $60.71
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.85K
Yes position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.02K
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43K
No position
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38K
Yes position
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83K
Yes position
Will Alan Dershowitz be named in Epstein files?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $991.24
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 Superheavy explode?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $677.64
No position
Democratic Blitz primary?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.28
No position
Will Biden say "Resign" during drop out speech?
Ends Jul 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
No position
Will Biden say "Anyway" five or more times during drop out speech?
Ends Jul 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
No position
Will Biden resign during his speech today?
Ends Jul 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37
Yes position
Will Trump say "tampon" on The Joe Rogan Experience?
Ends Oct 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$62.52
Yes position
Will Biden say "Trump" during drop out speech?
Ends Jul 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$76.73
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$140
Yes position
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" while addressing the nation on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$150
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$159.95
Yes position
Will Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$163.28
Yes position
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be red/pink?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$799.97
Yes position
Weed rescheduled by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.19K
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.87K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Weed rescheduled by June 30?Yes 26.3% 4,359.67 shares
- Weed rescheduled by June 30?Yes 51.6% 1,698.71 shares
- Weed rescheduled by June 30?Yes 50.4% 992.67 shares
- Weed rescheduled by June 30?Yes 57.7% 866.75 shares
- Weed rescheduled by June 30?Yes 57% 801.54 shares
- Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes 73% 625.31 shares
- Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes 20% 2,501.25 shares
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be red/pink?Yes 13.6% 735.33 shares
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be red/pink?Yes 9.6% 1,040.81 shares
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be red/pink?Yes 8.2% 1,220.61 shares
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be red/pink?Yes 8.3% 1,207.9 shares
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be red/pink?Yes 9.3% 1,075.27 shares