Polymarket Trader

apoosh

0xb010d72e73fe170ce3c412f117d2d32a2da92930

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $241.24
Realized PnL: $1.07K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $19.96
Potential payout: $359.61
Potential profit: $339.65
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: $4.96

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $232.14
Potential profit: $232.14
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $24.76
Potential payout: $141.51
Potential profit: $116.74
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.35
Potential profit: $138.35
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $41.76
Potential payout: $134.71
Potential profit: $92.95
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: $1.76

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.95
Potential profit: $121.95
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $3.76
Potential payout: $119.23
Potential profit: $115.47
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: -$6.24

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.28
Potential profit: $116.28
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.3%
Current value: $21.63
Potential payout: $112.36
Potential profit: $90.73
Multiplier: 5.19x
User PnL: $11.63

Yes position

Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.46
Potential profit: $111.46
User PnL: -$20

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.21
Potential profit: $109.21
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $56.04
Potential payout: $107.78
Potential profit: $51.73
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: $16.04

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.49
Potential profit: $105.49
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.62
Potential profit: $97.62
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $17.84
Potential payout: $87.04
Potential profit: $69.19
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$2.16

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by August 31?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $21.65
Potential payout: $80.2
Potential profit: $58.55
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: $1.65

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.34
Potential profit: $77.34
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.18
Potential profit: $74.18
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.87
Potential profit: $70.87
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $9.33
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $57.33
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$0.67

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $24.5
Potential payout: $62.89
Potential profit: $38.4
Multiplier: 2.57x
User PnL: $14.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $325.06

Yes position

Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.67

Yes position

Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.01

Yes position

Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.75

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.5

Yes position

Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.56

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.57

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $41.26

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34.47

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.83

Yes position

Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.71

Yes position

Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.04

Yes position

Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.04

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.45

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.41

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.33

No position

Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.66

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.32

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.3

Yes position

Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.41

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.41

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.57

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.04

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Yes 15% 33.33 shares
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Yes 25% 40 shares
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Yes 19% 52.63 shares
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?

Yes 27% 37.04 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 53.5% 18.69 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Yes 58.7% 17.02 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Yes 59.8% 16.74 shares
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Yes 20% 50 shares
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Yes 29% 34.48 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Yes 5.8% 86.21 shares
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?

Yes 41.1% 48.66 shares
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?

Yes 32.4% 61.82 shares