No position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $17.29
- Potential payout
- $26
- Potential profit
- $8.71
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $2.47
Polymarket Trader
0xb029...f331
0xb029fa2bf52969cd9d3c5cc2170fa9262a5df331
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $56.58
- Realized PnL
- $0.99
- Win rate
- 53.8%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $4.52
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $16.49
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$2.56
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $12.6
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $1.4
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $11.18
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $1.82
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $1.82
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $11.18
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$1.14
Yes position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $4.03
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $8.97
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- -$6.63
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.2%
- Current value
- $0.85
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $5.15
- Multiplier
- 7.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.8%
- Current value
- $4.29
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.71
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $10.4
No position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $6.09
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $0.63
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$6.07
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$10.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No 86% 5 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 91% 5 shares
- China coup attempt before 2027?No 97.8% 5 shares
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No 85.7% 8 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 89% 9 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 36% 5 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 28% 8 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?No 78% 13 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 22% 8 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No 23.1% 6 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 76.9% 5 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 50.3% 7 shares