Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $4.33
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $62.33
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$5.67
Polymarket Trader
andr47
0xb02b0324f3476d5f1577aa8e439112420ce2aa74
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $39.66
- Realized PnL
- $90.38
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $7.19
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $55.31
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$2.81
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $9.4
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $30.6
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29
- Potential profit
- $29
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $5.76
- Potential payout
- $21.74
- Potential profit
- $15.98
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$4.24
Yes position
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.64
- Potential profit
- $19.64
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.18
- Potential profit
- $18.18
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $0.41
- Potential payout
- $16.13
- Potential profit
- $15.72
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$4.59
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $10.52
- Potential payout
- $14.93
- Potential profit
- $4.4
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $2.05
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $7.95
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$2.95
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.77
- Potential profit
- $8.77
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.58
- Potential profit
- $7.58
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.88
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $7.03
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.87
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.8
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.62
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.24
Yes position
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.17
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.78
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.66
No position
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.58
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.15
No position
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.07
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.98
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $2.94
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.6
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.29
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.19
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 46% 21.74 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?No 91% 7.04 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?No 88% 7.04 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?No 71% 14.08 shares
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?No 67% 14.93 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 16% 62.5 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 73% 5.15 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 25% 40 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 55% 18.18 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes 15% 66.67 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?No 96.3% 24.69 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 33% 15.15 shares