No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $288.3
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $11.7
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $138.3
Polymarket Trader
wddsax6966
0xb02f77defc122617257d6931c1bc52bb3208a77e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $946.28
- Realized PnL
- $1.3K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $221.25
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $28.75
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $239.63
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $10.38
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $14.88
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $197.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $2.9
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
T1 position
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250
GnG Amazigh position
LoL: Dragons Esports vs GnG Amazigh (BO3) - Arabian League Seeding Phase
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $246
Falcons position
Commanders vs. Falcons
Ends Oct 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200
Zero Tenacity position
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs AVULUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffs
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184
T1 Academy position
LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stage
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.78
Jazz position
Jazz vs. Heat
Ends Jan 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77
No position
$PNUT listed on Coinbase in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Dec 20-27?
Ends Dec 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.99
Bucks position
Wizards vs. Bucks
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 14-21?
Ends Feb 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.31
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.75
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 28-31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.83
Anyones Legend position
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.72
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Solana hit $300 in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
MetaMask airdrop in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Base airdrop in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will Ethereum hit $4750 by February 28 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No 89% 250 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No 98.6% 200 shares
- Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?No 39% 20 shares
- Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?No 21% 50 shares
- Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Yes 21.1% 50 shares
- Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Yes 35.6% 20 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes 16% 200 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 18% 400 shares
- Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?Yes 46% 100 shares
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 60.2% 200 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?Yes 84% 19.99 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 20.4% 200 shares