Yes position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $0.84
- Potential payout
- $42
- Potential profit
- $41.16
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Polymarket Trader
0xb03a...5be2
0xb03aa8b220b7906d691d6fe00d79090c7f4c5be2
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $74.5
- Realized PnL
- $2.29
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $13.5
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $1.5
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $1.43
No position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $11.05
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $1.95
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $3.53
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $8.75
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $8.19
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $0.81
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.44
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.9%
- Current value
- $6.56
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $2.44
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $2.27
Yes position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $0.8
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $7.2
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.62
Yes position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $7
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $7.24
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $0.76
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.1%
- Current value
- $1.9
- Potential payout
- $7.01
- Potential profit
- $5.11
- Multiplier
- 3.69x
- User PnL
- -$1.93
Yes position
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $0.24
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $5.76
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.76
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $5.55
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0.45
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $4.5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $4.38
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.63
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $14.76
No position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Multiplier
- 22.73x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Multiplier
- 30.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$12.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes 4.9% 26 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Yes 8.9% 21 shares
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes 78% 10 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 90% 5 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 47.7% 9 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 16% 12 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No 92.2% 6 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?No 67% 6 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 33% 7 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 43.4% 7 shares
- US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?No 83% 5 shares
- Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?Yes 5.5% 30 shares