Polymarket Trader

0xB03D1e6D6C71DFf6D80F65924Fc479d9518CcaFe-1773612234989

0xb03d1e6d6c71dff6d80f65924fc479d9518ccafe

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $157.46
Realized PnL: $140.62
Win rate: 90.9%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 2, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.91
Potential profit: $101.91
User PnL: -$5

Valentin Royer position

Wimbledon ATP: Valentin Royer vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21.4%
Current value: $19.8
Potential payout: $92.53
Potential profit: $72.73
Multiplier: 4.67x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will "One Battle After Another" win 10 or more awards at the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.96
Potential profit: $54.96
User PnL: -$1

France position

France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $39.24
Potential payout: $50.63
Potential profit: $11.39
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$0.76

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $4.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $45.25
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.25

England position

Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $30.69
Potential payout: $46.15
Potential profit: $15.46
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $0.69

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $41.24
Potential payout: $43.64
Potential profit: $2.4
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $17.24

Croatia position

Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 9 awards at the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.91
Potential profit: $25.91
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $21.74
Potential payout: $21.92
Potential profit: $0.18
User PnL: $1.74

Yes position

Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 8 awards at the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.13
Potential profit: $13.13
User PnL: -$1

Daniil Medvedev position

BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinner

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

United States position

United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.43
Potential profit: $9.43
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 7 awards at the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.07
Potential profit: $6.07
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$1

Jiri Lehecka position

Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.7
Potential profit: $3.7
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.32
Potential profit: $1.32
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Paraguay position

Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.67

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.01

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.64

No position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.24

Yes position

Will St. Pauli be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.92

No position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.72

Yes position

Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Jannik Sinner position

Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jan-Lennard Struff

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12%
Multiplier: 8.37x
User PnL: -$0.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?

No 21.6% 92.53 shares
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jan-Lennard Struff

Jannik Sinner 93% 21.51 shares
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

England 65% 46.15 shares
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

United States 53% 9.43 shares
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

France 79% 25.32 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

No 91.3% 21.92 shares
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

France 79% 25.32 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Argentina 86% 11.63 shares
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Zverev

Jiri Lehecka 27% 3.7 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Yes 10% 50 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 2, 2026?

Yes 4.9% 101.91 shares
Wimbledon ATP: Valentin Royer vs Alexander Zverev

Valentin Royer 5% 100 shares