No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $796.74
- Potential payout
- $971.63
- Potential profit
- $174.89
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $53.6
Polymarket Trader
PUERTOVALLERTA452
0xb03e9b1a6632e4018639a24ba89f7b62e09c1091
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.08K
- Realized PnL
- $992.41
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.7%
- Current value
- $126.76
- Potential payout
- $809.99
- Potential profit
- $683.23
- Multiplier
- 6.39x
- User PnL
- -$3.82
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $232.8
- Potential payout
- $287.4
- Potential profit
- $54.61
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$11.7
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $261.99
- Potential payout
- $268.16
- Potential profit
- $6.17
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.99
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $122.37
- Potential payout
- $128.14
- Potential profit
- $5.77
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $25.37
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 24.2%
- Current value
- $26.5
- Potential payout
- $109.73
- Potential profit
- $83.23
- Multiplier
- 4.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $80.61
- Potential payout
- $82.85
- Potential profit
- $2.24
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.2%
- Current value
- $58.14
- Potential payout
- $80.53
- Potential profit
- $22.39
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- -$6.86
No position
Will FURIA make a roster change before July?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $62.38
- Potential payout
- $69.7
- Potential profit
- $7.32
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.38
Yes position
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $67.29
- Potential payout
- $69.51
- Potential profit
- $2.22
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$1.71
Yes position
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be less than 70%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $68.97
- Potential profit
- $68.07
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 75% and 80%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $67.11
- Potential profit
- $67.08
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $49.03
- Potential payout
- $56.04
- Potential profit
- $7.01
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $4.03
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.51
- Potential profit
- $53.51
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $24.47
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $28.16
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $43.27
- Potential payout
- $51.21
- Potential profit
- $7.94
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $2.27
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $36.51
- Potential payout
- $49
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $1.51
Astralis position
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.44
- Potential profit
- $44.44
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $23.7
- Potential payout
- $41.96
- Potential profit
- $18.26
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $2.7
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $13.2
- Potential payout
- $39.4
- Potential profit
- $26.2
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $26.45
- Potential payout
- $29.23
- Potential profit
- $2.78
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $4.45
Shopify Rebellion position
Rainbow Six Siege: DarkZero Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Playoffs
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.88
- Potential profit
- $26.88
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $23.44
- Potential payout
- $25.34
- Potential profit
- $1.9
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.44
KRÜ Esports position
Map Handicap: KRÜ (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.34
- Potential profit
- $24.34
- User PnL
- -$15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Under position
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $332.79
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.77
Yes position
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.28
Yes position
Will Meta (META) close above $660 on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.06
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.46
No position
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.7
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.07
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.59
FaZe position
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs illwill (BO3) - HLC Belgrade Pro Playoffs
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.55
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.71
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.5
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.1
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.98
No position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.1
Yes position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.8
No position
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.73
Up position
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.37
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.76
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.63
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.54
Up position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.23
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.23
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.66
Up position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.81
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes 56.8% 124.14 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 53.4% 65.7 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?No 78.9% 272.26 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?No 55% 7.27 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?No 93% 1.08 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?No 93% 1.08 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?No 53% 9.43 shares
- Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 21% 29.61 shares
- Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes 12% 37.59 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 80.5% 5.65 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?No 97.7% 193.38 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?No 99.4% 186.21 shares