Yes position
Trump out as President by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.41K
- Potential profit
- $17.41K
- User PnL
- -$46.22
Polymarket Trader
Zelenearn0
0xb04a46908c7cd7e62acbbbf08ec6e395336bacfc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.87K
- Realized PnL
- $8.81K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.9K
- Potential profit
- $9.9K
- User PnL
- -$263.83
No position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.56K
- Potential profit
- $2.56K
- User PnL
- -$146.49
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $4.6
- Potential payout
- $2.3K
- Potential profit
- $2.29K
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$19.94
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.77K
- Potential profit
- $1.77K
- User PnL
- -$187.53
No position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.69K
- Potential profit
- $1.69K
- User PnL
- -$172.97
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.68K
- Potential profit
- $1.68K
- User PnL
- -$54.48
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$40.8
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $321.27
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $806.38
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$38.37
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- User PnL
- -$201.6
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $953.77
- Potential profit
- $953.77
- User PnL
- -$134.93
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $937.11
- Potential profit
- $937.11
- User PnL
- -$78.98
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $870.55
- Potential profit
- $870.55
- User PnL
- -$191.95
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $782.79
- Potential profit
- $782.79
- User PnL
- -$48.38
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $633.23
- Potential payout
- $676.89
- Potential profit
- $43.66
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.62
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $671.37
- Potential profit
- $671.37
- User PnL
- -$97.49
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $662.39
- Potential profit
- $662.39
- User PnL
- -$133.99
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $453.41
- Potential payout
- $652.48
- Potential profit
- $199.07
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $20.06
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $651.3
- Potential profit
- $651.3
- User PnL
- -$91.18
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $579
- Potential payout
- $646.93
- Potential profit
- $67.93
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $41.13
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.31
- Potential payout
- $626.56
- Potential profit
- $626.25
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.8
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $335.36
- Potential payout
- $583.23
- Potential profit
- $247.87
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$38.1
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $561.74
- Potential profit
- $561.74
- User PnL
- -$146.05
No position
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $538.11
- Potential payout
- $540
- Potential profit
- $1.89
- User PnL
- $23.31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $906.36
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $602.56
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $575.35
Yes position
Khamenei public appearance by February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $441.2
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $423.1
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $416.89
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $352.18
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $345
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $340.48
Yes position
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $302.95
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $274.38
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $264.87
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $247.1
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.07
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $224.45
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.86
Yes position
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214.75
Yes position
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 25% in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214.56
No position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208.69
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.97
No position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $193.83
Yes position
US strikes Iran by Feb 28 Odds >30% by Friday?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.2
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?No 91% 3.61 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 95.3% 13.42 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 21% 240 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 55% 3.59 shares
- Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?Yes 18% 4.38 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes 2.8% 97.85 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 26.9% 35.99 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 25.8% 8.22 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 43.2% 0.22 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 43.2% 0.18 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 43.2% 2 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 43.1% 0.04 shares