Polymarket Trader

predictordeniz

0xb07de28fd176a4cf2ebabe56365fdf22202b23dc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $292.89
Realized PnL: $7.05K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.98K
Potential profit: $4.98K
User PnL: -$75.38

Yes position

Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.69K
Potential profit: $2.69K
User PnL: -$45.69

Yes position

Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.68K
Potential profit: $1.68K
User PnL: -$145.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C or higher on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $767.98
Potential profit: $767.98
User PnL: -$114.28

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $732.86
Potential profit: $732.86
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $564.92
Potential profit: $564.92
User PnL: -$35.21

Yes position

Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-19?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $424.5
Potential profit: $424.5
User PnL: -$3.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $292.74
Potential payout: $292.89
Potential profit: $0.15
User PnL: $201.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $290
Potential profit: $289.86
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$28.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $229.97
Potential profit: $229.97
User PnL: -$2.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.73
Potential profit: $227.73
User PnL: -$17.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.18
Potential profit: $200.18
User PnL: -$39.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $162
Potential profit: $162
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $160.4
Potential profit: $160.4
User PnL: -$7.39

No position

Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $127.79
Potential profit: $127.79
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120.11
Potential profit: $120.11
User PnL: -$15.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $118.02
Potential profit: $118.02
User PnL: -$2.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.2
Potential profit: $115.2
User PnL: -$48.22

Yes position

Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.67
Potential profit: $111.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.17
Potential profit: $104.17
User PnL: -$3.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103
Potential profit: $103
User PnL: -$5.83

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10.76

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Grok remain the #1 model through March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

Yes position

Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $961.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C or higher on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $768.04

No position

Will GPT-5 be released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $515.05

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $482.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 30-39 tweets on September 12, 2025?

Ends Sep 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $399.59

Yes position

No Israel strike Iran by Sunday Oct 20?

Ends Oct 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.27

Yes position

Will Trump say "border" 20 or more times during Virginia rally on Nov 2?

Ends Nov 2, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224.47

No position

Israel military response against Iran by Friday?

Ends Oct 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $211.88

No position

Israel military response against Iran in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $211.38

Yes position

Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-11-23?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.69

Yes position

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.97

No position

Will o3-mini be better than DeepSeek before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.38

No position

Israel military response against Iran by Friday?

Ends Oct 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.38

Yes position

Will Gemini have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.4

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.32

No position

Will Google have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.58

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $114.43

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.27

Yes position

Will Meta have the top AI model on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $102.05

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Dec 6-13?

Ends Dec 13, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $100.13

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Dec 27-Jan 3?

Ends Jan 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.33

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 19?

Yes 10% 290 shares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 19?

Yes 31.3% 292.89 shares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 18?

Yes 29% 9.04 shares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 18?

Yes 46% 12.28 shares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 17?

Yes 41.9% 115.2 shares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on June 15?

Yes 91.1% 116.28 shares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on June 15?

Yes 22% 23 shares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on June 15?

Yes 21.2% 93.28 shares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 14?

Yes 95% 153.34 shares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 14?

Yes 18% 72.78 shares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 14?

Yes 16.9% 46 shares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 14?

Yes 26.5% 100 shares