Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $186.58
- Potential payout
- $2.87K
- Potential profit
- $2.68K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$502.42
Polymarket Trader
0xB083BC3df9673B3Ea8ac02EAB8F6bE4a10998872-1767573770399
0xb083bc3df9673b3ea8ac02eab8f6be4a10998872
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $397.95
- Realized PnL
- $77.06
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $108.7
- Potential payout
- $108.7
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $8.7
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $102.67
- Potential payout
- $102.67
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.67
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $295.64
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $281.25
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $278.27
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $266.6
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.46
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.57
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.6
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.44
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-07?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.36
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.01
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.36
No position
Will fewer than 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 23-29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.35
No position
Iran leadership change by March 13?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.12
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.51
Raptors position
Spread: Raptors (-13.5)
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
No position
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.81
No position
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.42
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$1.56
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$46.14
No position
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$391.16
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.11K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 24% 2,870.46 shares
- Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?Yes 92% 108.7 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 6% 1,281.02 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 20.2% 2,728.57 shares
- Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Yes 36.1% 149.25 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No 2.1% 421.05 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?No 97% 102.66 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 95.5% 63.65 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?No 59.3% 101.99 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 96.7% 21.72 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No 95% 421.05 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 90% 247.06 shares