Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
qevitta
0xb08d8dfcec8dab6d236e46aca0c6c5439e608e2c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.94
- Realized PnL
- $130.34
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $5.41
- Potential payout
- $99.21
- Potential profit
- $93.8
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $34.48
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.73
- Potential profit
- $28.73
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.97
- Potential profit
- $12.97
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $1.29
- Potential payout
- $10.34
- Potential profit
- $9.05
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.71
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Yes position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $6.48
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.82
Yes position
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $2.87
- Potential payout
- $3.85
- Potential profit
- $0.98
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $0.19
- Potential payout
- $3.57
- Potential profit
- $3.38
- Multiplier
- 18.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.81
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.12
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.71
Yes position
Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.04
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.19
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.17
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 20?
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.58
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.25
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.91
Yes position
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.35
No position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.71
No position
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.63
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
No position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.97
No position
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.83
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 20?
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.69
Yes position
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.55
No position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.41
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.11
No position
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.76
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.74
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 0.3% 1,666.67 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 94.8% 5.26 shares
- Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes 78% 3.85 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 94.9% 5.27 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?Yes 14% 8.33 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes 75% 8.33 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?No 5.6% 35.71 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?Yes 12% 8.33 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 67% 2.38 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 21.9% 8 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?No 6.3% 63.49 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes 12% 8.33 shares