Polymarket Trader

realjulius

0xb08f0c41f6106c1ddf29bce246214367031129a2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $163.5
Realized PnL: $529.42
Win rate: 91.7%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 9?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $686.81
Potential profit: $686.81
User PnL: -$36.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $676.85
Potential profit: $676.85
User PnL: -$59.88

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 10?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $501.37
Potential profit: $501.37
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $374.16
Potential profit: $374.16
User PnL: -$29.95

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $335.57
Potential profit: $335.57
User PnL: -$150

No position

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $56.51
Potential payout: $235.44
Potential profit: $178.93
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: -$18.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $173.22
Potential profit: $173.22
User PnL: -$88.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $155.87
Potential profit: $155.87
User PnL: -$88.65

Paris Saint-Germain FC position

Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $144.93
Potential profit: $144.93
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $100.57
Potential payout: $114.94
Potential profit: $14.37
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$36

Warriors position

Warriors vs. Clippers

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$49

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $93.02
Potential profit: $92.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$39.95

Yes position

Will FC Lorient win on 2026-01-04?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.98
Potential profit: $87.98
User PnL: -$30

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.1
Potential profit: $80.1
User PnL: -$14.91

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.61
Potential profit: $65.61
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.7%
Current value: $6.38
Potential payout: $59.88
Potential profit: $53.5
Multiplier: 9.39x
User PnL: -$3.62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.16
Potential profit: $58.16
User PnL: -$9.95

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.34
Potential profit: $38.34
User PnL: -$4.98

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.42

Yes position

Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.21

Pistons position

Knicks vs. Pistons

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57

Yes position

Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-01-17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-04?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.78

Yes position

Will FC Lorient vs. FC Metz end in a draw?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.87

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.46

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 10?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.7% 59.88 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 48% 31.25 shares
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

No 31.9% 235.44 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Down 13% 38.34 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Down 13% 38.34 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Down 25% 19.82 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Down 54% 65.34 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Down 23.7% 29.76 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Down 14% 35.58 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Down 28.6% 276.27 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Down 10% 199.6 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Down 13% 76.68 shares