Polymarket Trader

Funpay

0xb096041350a730330d362b01f36aef7c268ee8d7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $156.13
Realized PnL: $2.61K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $45.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $4.5
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $5.5

Yes position

Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $4.6
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $15.4
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $3

No position

Will Warsh say "Maximum Employment" during June Press Conference?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $2.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $17.7
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$2.3

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $7.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $12.9
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $1.3

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $2.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $17.9
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$3.7

Yes position

Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 15.9%
Current value: $3.18
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $16.82
Multiplier: 6.29x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will Warsh say "Downside" during June Press Conference?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $8
Potential payout: $19.99
Potential profit: $12
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Warsh say "Jerome" or "Powell" during June Press Conference?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $10.5
Potential payout: $19.99
Potential profit: $9.5
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$4.7

Yes position

Will Warsh say "Trend" during June Press Conference?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $6.14
Potential payout: $14.45
Potential profit: $8.31
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $7.13
Potential payout: $13.46
Potential profit: $6.33
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: $3.77

Yes position

Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $3.38
Potential payout: $11.28
Potential profit: $7.9
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: $2.37

No position

Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $3.4
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $6.6
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Hat Trick" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $6.75
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $3.25
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $4.75

Yes position

Will Warsh say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during June Press Conference?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $3.65
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $6.35
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $1.75

No position

Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.98
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$4.88

Yes position

Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 10 and 12 million views on day 1?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $4.05
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $5.95
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $3.15

No position

Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.62
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$3.82

Yes position

Will Trump say "Antifa" in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $3.15
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $6.85
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 18.9%
Current value: $1.89
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.12
Multiplier: 5.31x
User PnL: $0.89

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Messi" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $7.15
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $2.85
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $2.85

No position

Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $6.8
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $3.2
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Offside" or "Offsides" 10+ times during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 59%
Current value: $5.9
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $4.1
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $3.05
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $6.95
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $1.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $251.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.15

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.33

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.33

No position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.31

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.56

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $30.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.44

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "Love" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?

Yes 77.6% 12.5 shares
Will "Pope" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

No 50% 1.14 shares
Will the White House Press Secretary say "CDC" or "WHO" during the next White House Press Briefing?

Yes 86% 10 shares
Will the White House Press Secretary say "Hormuz" or "Strait" during the next White House Press Briefing?

No 98% 9.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Yes 11% 95.55 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Yes 71.7% 151.33 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Yes 20.7% 48.02 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Yes 8% 47.7 shares
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on April 11?

Yes 34% 7.74 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Yes 14.1% 19 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 28?

Yes 6% 6 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 28?

Yes 11% 5 shares