Polymarket Trader

215B

0xb099ed9b1a889e2e6b7a2f4c08ae3c7bacb7aae2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $136
Realized PnL: $1.39K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$24

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $47
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $153
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $11

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $89
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $111
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.32

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $548.75

Yes position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.9%
Multiplier: 20.62x
User PnL: $246.6

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: Other

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $149.4

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.8

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $52

Yes position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36.84

Islanders position

Panthers vs. Islanders

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.6

Jurij Rodionov position

Madrid: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Jurij Rodionov

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.3

Kraken position

Hurricanes vs. Kraken

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $18.3

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $16.76

Yes position

Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14

No position

Will Trump attend Hulk Hogan's funeral?

Ends Aug 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.5

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.6

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.49

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.08

Yes position

Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Wednesday?

Ends Aug 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,250 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.93

Yes position

Bitcoin above $90,000 on November 22?

Ends Nov 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.39

Falcons position

Falcons vs. Raiders

Ends Dec 24, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08

Chiefs position

Chiefs vs. Browns

Ends Dec 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76

Yes position

Ethereum above $3,000 on November 15?

Ends Nov 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.26

No position

Bitcoin above $65,000 on October 4?

Ends Oct 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 23.4% 40 shares
Madrid: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Jurij Rodionov

Jurij Rodionov 99.9% 100 shares
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 10% 36 shares
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 11% 100 shares
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 11% 100 shares
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 12% 30 shares
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 12% 30 shares
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 10% 300 shares
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 9% 50 shares
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 9% 200 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 7?

No 92% 300 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 59% 230 shares