Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$20
Polymarket Trader
0xb09e50B5d98cDC105c50836394423B6f53FF8211-1767505311167
0xb09e50b5d98cdc105c50836394423b6f53ff8211
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.94
- Realized PnL
- $298.23
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.82K
- Potential profit
- $1.82K
- User PnL
- -$22.23
Yes position
Will there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $8.94
- Potential payout
- $688.04
- Potential profit
- $679.1
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$16.06
Yes position
US x Venezuela ceasefire by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$12
No position
Will Bank of America (BAC) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $153.85
- Potential profit
- $153.85
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$5.8
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.91
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will PNC Financial Services (PNC) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67.79
- Potential profit
- $67.79
- User PnL
- -$10.85
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 15?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$3.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.9
Yes position
US bank failure by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.33
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13
Yes position
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes 46% 50 shares
- Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) beat quarterly earnings?No 0.1% 410.64 shares
- Will Bank of America (BAC) beat quarterly earnings?No 13% 153.85 shares
- Will there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Yes 3.6% 688.04 shares
- Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?No 4% 125 shares
- US x Venezuela ceasefire by January 31?Yes 10% 100 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No 11% 90.91 shares
- Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes 0.4% 5,000 shares
- Maduro mugshot released by Monday?Yes 39% 25.64 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes 20% 50 shares
- US bank failure by January 31?Yes 6% 83.33 shares