Polymarket Trader

0xb0A008048368cfa05cB7223555B2f7CE419ED663-1771455847575

0xb0a008048368cfa05cb7223555b2f7ce419ed663

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.04K
Realized PnL: $5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $279.64
Potential payout: $3.12K
Potential profit: $2.84K
Multiplier: 11.17x
User PnL: -$31.35

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $756
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $1.64K
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $179

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.03K
Potential profit: $2.03K
User PnL: -$190

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.93K
Potential profit: $1.93K
User PnL: -$691.27

Portugal position

Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$368

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $964.29
Potential profit: $964.29
User PnL: -$135

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $937.5
Potential profit: $937.5
User PnL: -$45

United States position

United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $592
Potential profit: $592
User PnL: -$53

Conor McGregor position

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $563
Potential profit: $563
User PnL: -$163.27

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $520.54
Potential profit: $520.54
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $335
Potential profit: $335
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Erling Haaland: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $309
Potential profit: $309
User PnL: -$145.23

Yes position

Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $285.71
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Harry Kane: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Lionel Messi: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$102

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42K

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26K

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $824.49

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $800

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $443.68

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $258

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Yes 11.2% 400 shares
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Yes 10.5% 2,082.5 shares
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Yes 23.9% 2,000 shares
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Yes 7.4% 641.92 shares
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Conor McGregor 29% 563 shares
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals

Yes 51% 200 shares
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals

Yes 47% 309 shares
Harry Kane: 1+ goals

Yes 50% 200 shares
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

United States 6% 500 shares
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

United States 25% 92 shares
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Portugal 36% 1,022.22 shares
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals

Yes 35% 285.71 shares