Yes position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $15.66
- Potential payout
- $6.26K
- Potential profit
- $6.25K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$95.92
Polymarket Trader
polygambler90
0xb0b1a34c29b837ce63c641e172aa94afe9bd76d9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $191.91
- Realized PnL
- $860.44
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$43
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $798
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$38
Yes position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$90
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $599.99
- Potential profit
- $599.99
- User PnL
- -$383.99
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.7%
- Current value
- $83.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $416.75
- Multiplier
- 6.01x
- User PnL
- -$38.85
Down position
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $91
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $109
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $95k in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.91
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108
Yes position
US stagflation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $87.42
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51
Yes position
Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.17
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.5
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.2
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.6
No position
[Single Market] Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Aug 9, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.9
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.8
Yes position
Will Trump say "Border" in his speech after the election is called?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.95
No position
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.7
Yes position
[Single Market] Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Aug 9, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.6
No position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.6
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?
Ends May 28, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Arizona Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 5% 800 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 95% 200 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Yes 58% 95.19 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?No 93.7% 99.22 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes 0.5% 193.64 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No 40% 120 shares
- Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?No 69% 30 shares
- US stagflation in 2025?Yes 9% 56.87 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes 18% 200 shares
- Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?Yes 6% 200 shares
- US recession in 2025?Yes 22% 650 shares
- Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes 10% 400 shares