Polymarket Trader

D4NYEL

0xb0b9cf6b81520150155bd9fd42fd513ca334d898

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $297.05
Realized PnL: $235.22
Win rate: 52.9%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $172.05
Potential payout: $11.1K
Potential profit: $10.93K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$388.04

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $125
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.88K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$91.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Argentina position

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: $169.39

Philadelphia Phillies position

Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.49

Up position

SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.58

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.23

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $7.03

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.43

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.7

No position

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$49.24

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$81

Tampa Bay Rays position

Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$120

New York Yankees position

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$120

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 45.7% 200 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.3% 10,000 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 2.4% 138.8 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 51% 200 shares
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

New York Yankees 40% 300 shares
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

Argentina 99% 300 shares
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

Argentina 40% 300 shares
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)

Philadelphia Phillies 44% 300 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?

No 0.1% 35,000 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 29.1% 55 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 17?

Up 44% 100 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?

Yes 15.1% 2,020.47 shares