Polymarket Trader

EffyBig

0xb0ccfba29aaf3c20ce28cf97349c951ba589f09b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $602.51
Realized PnL: $7.74K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$229.77

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $577.86
Potential payout: $808.2
Potential profit: $230.34
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $82.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $320.4
Potential profit: $320.4
User PnL: -$17.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $6.63
Potential payout: $141.07
Potential profit: $134.44
Multiplier: 21.28x
User PnL: -$1.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 9.3%
Current value: $10.99
Potential payout: $118.85
Potential profit: $107.85
Multiplier: 10.81x
User PnL: $1.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 9.3%
Current value: $7.03
Potential payout: $75.95
Potential profit: $68.92
Multiplier: 10.81x
User PnL: $1.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.01
Potential profit: $25.01
User PnL: -$2.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $11
User PnL: -$0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $791.07

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $760.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $705.66

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $450.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $421.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $358.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $344.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $332.13

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $316.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $311.34

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $304.36

No position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $266.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $239.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $228.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.98

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.21

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $206.22

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $181.64

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.97

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $173.99

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.14

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 30.3% 800 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 63.6% 235.97 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 60% 96.17 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 60% 48.33 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 60.9% 211.71 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 60% 30 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 60% 175 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 61% 11 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 62.1% 427.67 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 40.3% 200 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 54% 109.26 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 54% 101.85 shares