Yes position
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
43jn555ndsavko9df
0xb0cfaa12eff2728806c76f0d93e8dbba771b0f76
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16.34
- Realized PnL
- $68.91
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $6.51
- Potential payout
- $100.2
- Potential profit
- $93.69
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $5.24
Yes position
Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $6.09
- Potential payout
- $46.82
- Potential profit
- $40.73
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $24
- User PnL
- -$4.8
Yes position
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1.46
Yes position
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 75m?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.07
- Potential profit
- $19.07
- User PnL
- -$1.36
Yes position
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.15
Yes position
Will John Healey be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.25
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Yes position
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.4%
- Current value
- $1.61
- Potential payout
- $9.8
- Potential profit
- $8.2
- Multiplier
- 6.10x
- User PnL
- $0.61
Yes position
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29%
- Current value
- $1.38
- Potential payout
- $4.76
- Potential profit
- $3.38
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.62
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.56
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 3 Japan?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.3
Yes position
Ayase Ueda: 1+ goals
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.29
Yes position
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-04-24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.48
Over position
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.39
Yes position
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.48
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by 9% or more?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.93
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $3.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
TheMongolz position
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.56
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $2.03
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.54
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
FURIA position
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
TheMongolz position
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 11.9% 38 shares
- Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 13.7% 100 shares
- Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026Yes 11% 18.18 shares
- Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026Yes 10.7% 18.64 shares
- Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026Yes 10.2% 9.8 shares
- Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?Yes 42% 4.76 shares
- SCOTUS rules in favor of Monsanto?No 3% 5 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 25?Down 36% 7.59 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 25?Down 26.3% 7.59 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 24?Down 58% 10 shares
- Will John Healey be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?Yes 14% 10 shares
- Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 1.3% 170 shares