Yes position
Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$246
Polymarket Trader
seasonrsic
0xb0fe335c6658eaee99f959c11c1603a053db6e39
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $232.1
- Realized PnL
- $207.36
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $75.29
- Potential payout
- $242.86
- Potential profit
- $167.57
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- -$26.71
No position
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $239.37
- Potential profit
- $239.37
- User PnL
- -$175.25
Yes position
Will I Lied to You - Sinners win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $205.6
- Potential profit
- $205.6
- User PnL
- -$20.56
Yes position
Fact Check: is L.A. U-Haul attack perp a U.S. Citizen?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$34
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $156.81
- Potential payout
- $156.81
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $84.81
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.9
Yes position
Will Luke Littler win the PDC World Darts Championship?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.46
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?Yes 45.9% 156.81 shares
- Claude 4.8 released by May 31?No 73.2% 239.37 shares
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes 42% 242.86 shares
- U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?No 62.1% 281.75 shares
- Will I Lied to You - Sinners win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 10% 205.6 shares