Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $67.55K
- Potential payout
- $67.66K
- Potential profit
- $101.48
- User PnL
- $15.87K
Polymarket Trader
Parz1vaI
@Parz1valPM
0xb10047d6a254b2ebb306d7a7d13bf59171ab6461
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $240.77K
- Realized PnL
- $345.81K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.9K
- Potential profit
- $65.9K
- User PnL
- -$9.6K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $8.92K
- Potential payout
- $50.96K
- Potential profit
- $42.04K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.08K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.39K
- Potential profit
- $50.39K
- User PnL
- -$8.27K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $125
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $49.87K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.52K
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $38.49K
- Potential payout
- $38.74K
- Potential profit
- $251.81
- User PnL
- $4.25K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.32K
- Potential profit
- $35.32K
- User PnL
- -$2.74K
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $3.14K
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $26.87K
- Multiplier
- 9.57x
- User PnL
- -$135
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.1%
- Current value
- $3.32K
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $26.69K
- Multiplier
- 9.05x
- User PnL
- $705
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.3%
- Current value
- $3.98K
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $26.03K
- Multiplier
- 7.55x
- User PnL
- -$855
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $1.7K
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $28.31K
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- $45
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $1.99K
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $28K
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$525
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.1%
- Current value
- $2.99K
- Potential payout
- $29.75K
- Potential profit
- $26.76K
- Multiplier
- 9.95x
- User PnL
- $14.88
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $5.22K
- Potential payout
- $28.29K
- Potential profit
- $23.07K
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $664.75
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $21.48K
- Potential payout
- $21.62K
- Potential profit
- $140.53
- User PnL
- $137.53
Yes position
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $90
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $19.91K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$90
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $18.97K
- Potential payout
- $19.1K
- Potential profit
- $133.73
- User PnL
- $537.84
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $18.51K
- Potential payout
- $18.67K
- Potential profit
- $158.66
- User PnL
- $376.01
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $11.59K
- Potential payout
- $11.75K
- Potential profit
- $158.65
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $459.19
No position
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
Ends Sep 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $5.03K
- Potential payout
- $11.18K
- Potential profit
- $6.15K
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.52K
No position
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $9.76K
- Potential payout
- $10.23K
- Potential profit
- $475.74
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$41.83
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $9.43K
- Potential payout
- $9.49K
- Potential profit
- $56.92
- User PnL
- $173.27
No position
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $8.51K
- Potential payout
- $8.66K
- Potential profit
- $151.49
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $150.03
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $8K
- User PnL
- -$1.2K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.85K
Yes position
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.51K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.83K
Yes position
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.18K
Clippers position
Nuggets vs. Clippers
Ends May 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.99K
Yes position
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.03K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.44K
Bulls position
Lakers vs. Bulls
Ends Apr 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.09K
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.69K
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.06K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.38K
Clippers position
Clippers vs. Nuggets
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.35K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.29K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.48K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.46K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.65K
No position
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.09K
BNK FEARX position
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.85K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.38K
No position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.3K
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.88K
No position
Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get more than 15m views on day 1?
Ends Aug 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.83K
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.78K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.42K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No 98.7% 3,933.54 shares
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No 99.3% 15,049.51 shares
- Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 64.6% 14.14 shares
- Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 64.6% 536.93 shares
- Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 64% 10.58 shares
- Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 67.2% 202.83 shares
- Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 62.5% 78.05 shares
- Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 60.4% 1,028.49 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.3% 27,408.67 shares
- Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?No 79.5% 149.03 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No 98.6% 2,398.1 shares
- Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?No 98.8% 360 shares