Polymarket Trader

Trade-D

@TraderDiary0528

0xb10976be553c54dedba37a871631faa3776decf4

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $38.1
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $40.01
Potential profit: $38.51
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $1.7
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.3
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 17.3%
Current value: $2.84
Potential payout: $16.4
Potential profit: $13.56
Multiplier: 5.77x
User PnL: $1.84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $1.85
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $14.29
Multiplier: 8.73x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.41
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.91

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $0.56
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $11.94
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $9.1
Potential profit: $7.6
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.54
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$0.84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $1.12
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $6.58
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $0.68
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $6.46
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $6.26
Potential profit: $5.29
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $5.89
Potential profit: $4.92
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $4.87
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $1.77
Potential payout: $5.13
Potential profit: $3.36
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $0.77

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $2.88
Potential payout: $3.06
Potential profit: $0.19
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $3.04
Potential payout: $3.06
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $3.06
Potential profit: $0.06
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $2.99
Potential payout: $3.05
Potential profit: $0.06
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $2.99
Potential payout: $3.05
Potential profit: $0.06
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $3.03
Potential payout: $3.04
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $2.89
Potential payout: $3.03
Potential profit: $0.14
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 33.4%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $2.63
Potential profit: $1.75
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$0.12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

No 98.3% 3.05 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 6.1% 16.39 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 19.5% 5.13 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 38% 2.63 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 7.1% 13.88 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 7.2% 13.89 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 16% 6.25 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 17% 5.88 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 2.5% 40 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 5% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

No 99.8% 3.06 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?

No 98.2% 3.05 shares