Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.9%
- Current value
- $1.09K
- Potential payout
- $2.87K
- Potential profit
- $1.79K
- Multiplier
- 2.64x
- User PnL
- -$349.03
Polymarket Trader
alertpilot123
0xb10aba517eecbdec9b11884c4f5cca269ecb5b24
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.28K
- Realized PnL
- $454.43
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 62.2%
- Current value
- $1.79K
- Potential payout
- $2.87K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $349.03
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the SC-02 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $213.57
- Potential payout
- $265.31
- Potential profit
- $51.74
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$11.03
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199
- Potential profit
- $199
- User PnL
- -$95.91
Yes position
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $180
- Potential profit
- $179.91
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$77.31
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $25.29
- Potential payout
- $117.63
- Potential profit
- $92.34
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$29.3
No position
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $72.57
- Potential payout
- $104.44
- Potential profit
- $31.86
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $1.82
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $104.21
- Potential profit
- $103.22
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.9%
- Current value
- $31.81
- Potential payout
- $58
- Potential profit
- $26.19
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- -$6.5
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $21.74
- Potential payout
- $51.76
- Potential profit
- $30.02
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- -$17.6
Yes position
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Current value
- $3.15
- Potential payout
- $51.65
- Potential profit
- $48.5
- Multiplier
- 16.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $4.1
- Potential payout
- $24.1
- Potential profit
- $20
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $10.55
- Potential payout
- $22.2
- Potential profit
- $11.66
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $1.66
Yes position
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.75
- Potential profit
- $21.75
- User PnL
- -$5.22
No position
Will Bill Hill advance from the AK-AL primary election?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $2.11
- Potential payout
- $21.09
- Potential profit
- $18.98
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Jonathan Majors as Kang?
Ends Dec 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $2.43
- Potential payout
- $20.71
- Potential profit
- $18.28
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $1.53
- Potential payout
- $20.69
- Potential profit
- $19.16
- Multiplier
- 13.51x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $0.84
- Potential payout
- $18.67
- Potential profit
- $17.83
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
No position
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.56
- Potential profit
- $11.56
- User PnL
- -$1.04
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $1.23
- Potential payout
- $10.69
- Potential profit
- $9.46
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
No position
Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.6
- Potential profit
- $10.6
- User PnL
- -$2.12
No position
Will Movsar Evloev be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $8.06
- Potential payout
- $10.47
- Potential profit
- $2.41
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $1.99
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $6.05
- Potential profit
- $6.04
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.14
No position
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 58.7%
- Current value
- $3.54
- Potential payout
- $6.04
- Potential profit
- $2.5
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.63
No position
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.13
No position
Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.17
Yes position
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.89
No position
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $36.75
No position
Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $25.43
No position
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.59
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3.2
No position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $1.91
Yes position
Will Drake be the top Spotify artist for 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.4%
- Multiplier
- 11.98x
- User PnL
- $0.76
Yes position
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 77%
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Cardi B and Stefon Diggs get engaged in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.88x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.61
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.58
Yes position
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$3.27
No position
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$5.39
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$6.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?Yes 7.2% 20.69 shares
- Jonathan Majors as Kang?Yes 9.8% 20.71 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 40% 22.2 shares
- Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?Yes 24% 21.75 shares
- Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 1.9% 104.21 shares
- Will Bill Hill advance from the AK-AL primary election?No 11% 21.09 shares
- Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 20.4% 10.69 shares
- Will Movsar Evloev be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No 58% 10.47 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes 13% 24.1 shares
- Will the Republican Party win the SC-02 House seat?Yes 81% 10.31 shares
- Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?No 67.7% 104.44 shares
- Will the Republican Party win the SC-02 House seat?Yes 81% 12.48 shares