Polymarket Trader

0xb11552CB344356cc86e204DCb7921DCfdAE3D234-1775220038562

0xb11552cb344356cc86e204dcb7921dcfdae3d234

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $37.98
Realized PnL: $20.76
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $13.54
Potential payout: $13.56
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.54

No position

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $4.76
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?

Ends Oct 21, 2026

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $4.98
Potential profit: $4.59
Multiplier: 12.90x
User PnL: -$0.61

No position

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $3.99
Potential payout: $4.13
Potential profit: $0.13
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 28.1%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $3.03
Potential profit: $2.18
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $2.94
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $2.94
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $2.06
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $0.44
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $2.09
Potential payout: $2.47
Potential profit: $0.38
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $1.74
Potential payout: $2.3
Potential profit: $0.56
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$0.26

No position

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $2.11
Potential payout: $2.22
Potential profit: $0.11
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $2.2
Potential payout: $2.22
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.2

No position

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $2.06
Potential payout: $2.22
Potential profit: $0.17
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.06

No position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $2.03
Potential payout: $2.2
Potential profit: $0.16
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

ByteDance IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $2.03
Potential payout: $2.15
Potential profit: $0.12
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $1.55
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.92
Potential profit: $1.92
User PnL: -$1

Knicks position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.82
Potential profit: $1.82
User PnL: -$1

Thunder position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.72
Potential profit: $1.72
User PnL: -$1

Pistons position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.69
Potential profit: $1.69
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.64
Potential profit: $1.64
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.23
Potential profit: $1.23
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $1.16
Potential profit: $0.17
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $1.15
Potential profit: $0.2
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $5.14

76ers position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.36

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.86

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75

Lakers position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

Nuggets position

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.37

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Lakers

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Under 5.5 position

NBA Playoffs: Knicks vs. Cavaliers Total Games O/U 5.5

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Lakers

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Under 5.5 position

NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

Thunder position

Lakers vs. Thunder

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Lakers position

Jazz vs. Lakers

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Thunder position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Trail Blazers position

Kings vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Spurs position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Trail Blazers

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Magic position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $0.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 81% 2.47 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 80% 2.5 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 52% 1.92 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 52% 1.92 shares
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 78% 1.28 shares
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 61% 1.64 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 80% 1.25 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 70% 1.43 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 81% 1.23 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 82% 1.22 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 90% 2.22 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 63% 1.59 shares