No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $24.94K
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- $1.64K
Polymarket Trader
0xB121F5786E0d26B411A0F8D900103D9B517Db73C-1776794927996
0xb121f5786e0d26b411a0f8d900103d9b517db73c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $69.85K
- Realized PnL
- $7.11K
- Win rate
- 81.3%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $13.45K
- Potential payout
- $13.48K
- Potential profit
- $33.7
- User PnL
- $261.19
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $8.06K
- Potential payout
- $9.21K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $138.2
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $7.94K
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- $176.04
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $7K
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $3.5
- User PnL
- $30.51
No position
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $6.2K
- Potential payout
- $6.27K
- Potential profit
- $65.84
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $58.18
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.71K
- Potential payout
- $1.95K
- Potential profit
- $243.79
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$9.94
No position
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $557.41
- Potential payout
- $572
- Potential profit
- $14.59
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3K
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
No position
Netanyahu out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $825
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $534.06
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $375.11
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $353.66
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $327.62
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70
Yes position
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by March 15?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 86% 30 shares
- Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?No 97.5% 572 shares
- Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?No 98.9% 67.31 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No 99.7% 200 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 99.5% 4,379.77 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 99.9% 4,000 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?No 96.5% 6,000 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 99.9% 4,000 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?Yes 88% 178 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?Yes 88% 1,772.29 shares
- Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?No 98% 6,000 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 99.9% 10,201.38 shares