Polymarket Trader

Cherut

0xb12897c1a963e73a3e1682398c03fce18d57cf58

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $12.13K
Realized PnL: $35.72K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $3.02K
Potential payout: $147.53K
Potential profit: $144.51K
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$1.53K

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $17.26
Potential payout: $34.53K
Potential profit: $34.51K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.59K

Yes position

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $412.5
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $24.59K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $112.5

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $4.09K
Potential payout: $18.65K
Potential profit: $14.56K
Multiplier: 4.56x
User PnL: -$901.82

Yes position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $40.45
Potential payout: $11.56K
Potential profit: $11.52K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$3.23K

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.79K
Potential profit: $6.79K
User PnL: -$1.5K

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.7K
Potential profit: $6.7K
User PnL: -$2K

Yes position

Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.88K
Potential payout: $2.88K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $696.84

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $198.53
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $1.27K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$301.47

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $825.72
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $540.24
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$7.51

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $607.86
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $449.29
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $89.86

Yes position

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $36
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $964
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: $11

Yes position

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $45
User PnL: -$16.62

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.6K

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.83K

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26K

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.71K

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.61K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.53K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.37K

No position

Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.37K

No position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $880.15

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $824.16

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $673.78

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $426.32

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $394.21

Yes position

Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $294.94

No position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.7

Yes position

Will Morgan Stanley (MS) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127

Yes position

Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.89

Yes position

Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.79

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.74

No position

Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.28

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.42

Yes position

Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.48

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.38

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 62.4% 101 shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 62.4% 150 shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 62.4% 1,682.94 shares
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 51% 2,300 shares
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?

No 89% 6.52 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

No 99.9% 10,891.58 shares
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?

Yes 75% 1,056 shares
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?

Yes 77% 772.53 shares
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?

Yes 75.7% 1,046.98 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 34% 1,470.59 shares
Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Yes 12.5% 1,727.12 shares
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?

Yes 13.8% 1,454.98 shares