Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.7%
- Current value
- $15.85
- Potential payout
- $84.75
- Potential profit
- $68.9
- Multiplier
- 5.35x
- User PnL
- $5.85
Polymarket Trader
Zzzzz13
0xb12cf5ff3aaff3135b7e083dd7e09a2d9b43d30f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $420.31
- Realized PnL
- $155.42
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $7.11
- Potential payout
- $75.19
- Potential profit
- $68.08
- Multiplier
- 10.58x
- User PnL
- -$2.89
Yes position
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $58.23
- Potential payout
- $60.98
- Potential profit
- $2.74
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $8.23
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $54.63
- Potential payout
- $54.63
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $10.63
Yes position
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $8.93
- Potential payout
- $51.02
- Potential profit
- $42.09
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$16.07
Yes position
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $13.45
- Potential payout
- $50.75
- Potential profit
- $37.3
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$21.55
Yes position
Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.2
- Potential profit
- $49.2
- User PnL
- -$17.78
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $48.78
- Potential payout
- $48.78
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $23.78
Yes position
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
Ends Jan 10, 2027- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $37.1
- Potential payout
- $45.8
- Potential profit
- $8.7
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $7.1
Yes position
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $31.06
- Potential payout
- $41.98
- Potential profit
- $10.91
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $1.06
Yes position
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $13.58
- Potential payout
- $39.94
- Potential profit
- $26.36
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- $3.58
Yes position
Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2027- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $25.9
- Potential payout
- $38.09
- Potential profit
- $12.19
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $10.9
Yes position
Will there be at least 1550 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $25.64
- Potential payout
- $25.64
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $5.64
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $22.25
- Potential payout
- $22.25
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $8.25
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $15.9
- Potential payout
- $15.9
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $5.9
Yes position
Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $15.74
- Potential payout
- $15.74
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $4.74
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.96
- Potential profit
- $14.96
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.44
- Potential profit
- $14.44
- User PnL
- -$7
No position
Will HP (HPQ) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.08
- Potential profit
- $14.08
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $13.16
- Potential payout
- $13.16
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.16
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $13.01
- Potential payout
- $13.01
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.14
Yes position
Will Italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.01
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.36
No position
Will there be at least 1,150 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.38
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown last 21 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $210 on February 24?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.25
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.76
USA position
Men's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakia
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.76
Yes position
Will there be at least 1400 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.15
Yes position
Will Amer Sports (AS) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.01
Up position
Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.97
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.77
Yes position
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.67
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.48
Yes position
Will there be at least 1,050 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Down position
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.92
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.51
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
No position
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07
Yes position
Will there be at least 1,150 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump approval Up or Down this week?Down 91% 9.8 shares
- Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?Yes 42.5% 49.18 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes 69% 7.25 shares
- Trump approval Up or Down this week?Down 51% 9.8 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 91.1% 17.44 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?No 62.9% 15.9 shares
- Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?Yes 69.9% 15.74 shares
- Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?Yes 64% 40 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes 48.5% 14.44 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes 76.9% 13.01 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Yes 66.8% 14.96 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 51.2% 48.78 shares