Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.8%
- Current value
- $139.58
- Potential payout
- $833.33
- Potential profit
- $693.75
- Multiplier
- 5.97x
- User PnL
- $39.58
Polymarket Trader
666kai
0xb12e62d51d71466d58b293c84f4cb9c77e532408
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $622.16
- Realized PnL
- $12.29K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.8%
- Current value
- $275
- Potential payout
- $769.23
- Potential profit
- $494.23
- Multiplier
- 2.80x
- User PnL
- $175
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $77.81
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $547.19
- Multiplier
- 8.03x
- User PnL
- -$22.19
Yes position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $254.66
- Potential profit
- $254.66
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.7%
- Current value
- $13.32
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $77.59
- Multiplier
- 6.83x
- User PnL
- $3.32
Yes position
Will Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $15.42
- Potential payout
- $85.69
- Potential profit
- $70.26
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$30.8
Yes position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $13.24
- Potential payout
- $54.05
- Potential profit
- $40.81
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$6.76
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $2.89
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $49.74
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$7.11
Yes position
Will Solana reach $100 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.85
- Potential profit
- $49.85
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $14.19
- Potential payout
- $48.1
- Potential profit
- $33.91
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$22.05
Yes position
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $34.32
- Potential payout
- $41.1
- Potential profit
- $6.78
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $4.32
Yes position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $3.65
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $34.81
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$6.35
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $28.57
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.69
- Potential profit
- $24.69
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.6%
- Current value
- $7.31
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $12.69
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $2.31
Bilibili Gaming position
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.95
- Potential profit
- $16.95
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.95
- Potential profit
- $16.95
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid reach $90 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $6.69
- Potential payout
- $14.71
- Potential profit
- $8.01
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$3.31
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.63
- Potential profit
- $11.63
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $1.68
- Potential payout
- $10.87
- Potential profit
- $9.18
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$3.32
No position
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $10.18
- Potential payout
- $10.43
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 65.9%
- Current value
- $6.86
- Potential payout
- $10.42
- Potential profit
- $3.56
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- -$3.14
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$8.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.45K
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $898.57
Gen.G position
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $481.99
Yes position
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $426.03
Yes position
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $251.39
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $4200 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234.56
No position
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.1
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140
Bilibili Gaming position
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.75
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.91
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.63
No position
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.51
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?
Ends Aug 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.81
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.13
Yes position
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $71.72
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.26
No position
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.27
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.11
No position
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.74
Yes position
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.97
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.57
Yes position
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 69%
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $53.94
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.72
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes 99.2% 20.16 shares
- Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?No 95.9% 10.43 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.3% 832 shares
- Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Yes 30% 57.24 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes 22.4% 448.16 shares
- Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No 98.5% 5.08 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 98.8% 10.12 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 60% 8.33 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?Yes 88% 22.73 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 90% 11.11 shares
- Starmer out by October 31, 2026?Yes 96.9% 5.16 shares
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 0.5Over 95.6% 5.23 shares