Polymarket Trader

llonm

0xb136839920c6f980ec56ea51c996e5ff329463ac

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $9.38
Realized PnL: -$5.38
Win rate: 70.8%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $7.19
Potential payout: $7.19
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.33
Potential profit: $2.33
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.14
Potential profit: $1.14
User PnL: -$1

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.11
Potential payout: $1.11
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $1.08
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.08

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3

Blue Jays position

Angels vs. Blue Jays

Ends Jul 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03

Dodgers position

Astros vs. Dodgers

Ends Jul 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will Alassane Ouattara win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Will anyone be charged as a result of Epstein file release?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

No position

SpaceX rescues stranded astronauts before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Did the FBI destroy Epstein files?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will Barack Obama be named in Epstein files?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Alabama win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Russia use a nuclear weapon in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu by next Friday?

Ends Feb 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Gustavo Petro out as Colombia president before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will CDU/CSU, FDP, and Greens for the next German Government?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will RFK Jr. win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 10?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Prince Andrew be named in Epstein files?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

SpaceX rescues stranded astronauts before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 President’s Trophy?

Ends Apr 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Ethereum all time high in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.53

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?

No 99.6% 290 shares
Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?

No 99.6% 297.19 shares
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?

No 99.5% 304.21 shares
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?

No 99.6% 304.22 shares
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?

No 90% 1.11 shares
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?

No 93% 1.08 shares
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30?

No 88% 1.14 shares
Astros vs. Dodgers

Dodgers 64% 1.56 shares
Angels vs. Blue Jays

Blue Jays 60% 3.33 shares
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Yes 43% 2.33 shares
Will Alassane Ouattara win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?

Yes 70% 1.43 shares
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 President’s Trophy?

No 80% 2.5 shares