Polymarket Trader

quokkaboshi

0xb13922ee0aec7c44bd7d279998513938dcfe7dd1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $350.16
Realized PnL: $1.31K
Win rate: 42.1%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $283.66
Potential payout: $978.15
Potential profit: $694.49
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: $64.38

Yes position

Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $338.82
Potential profit: $338.82
User PnL: -$96.07

Yes position

Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $66.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $33.5
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $4.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $558.12

No position

Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $302.9

Yes position

EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.79

No position

Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $181.17

Yes position

Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.74

Yes position

Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 87.5%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $42.1

Yes position

South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.37

Yes position

Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12.93

Aspinall position

Aspinall vs. Gane

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25.42

Yes position

EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$40.05

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$43.02

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$72.78

Yes position

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$111.87

No position

Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$155.89

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$170.04

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$244.42

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$268.38

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Yes 87% 263.1 shares
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?

Yes 74% 1,024.63 shares
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Yes 3.5% 603.6 shares
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Yes 19.9% 503.6 shares
Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Yes 16.4% 978.15 shares
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?

Yes 31% 96.77 shares
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?

Yes 29.5% 237.5 shares
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?

Yes 34% 88.24 shares
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?

Yes 37.9% 264.1 shares
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?

Yes 69% 724.64 shares
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Yes 65.7% 388.31 shares
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Yes 76% 272.58 shares