Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $423.56
- Potential payout
- $3.14K
- Potential profit
- $2.71K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$76.44
Polymarket Trader
Gear5trade
0xb1467252f70edb27cbf4eeefc422a844fefce272
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $562.99
- Realized PnL
- $428.51
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $37.78
- Potential payout
- $444.44
- Potential profit
- $406.67
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$42.22
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $212.77
- Potential profit
- $212.66
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$99.89
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $101.54
- Potential payout
- $118.76
- Potential profit
- $17.22
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $1.54
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.03
- Potential profit
- $68.03
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $29.41
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $28.57
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $410.94
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.57
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.6
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.27
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.87
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes 15.9% 3,137.5 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?No 96.6% 110.01 shares
- Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?Yes 10.8% 460.94 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 18% 444.44 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?Yes 16% 588.29 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?Down 99.9% 36.63 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?No 90.9% 110.01 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?Down 79% 18.99 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 28?No 5.1% 19.61 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 28?Yes 96% 104.17 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 28?Yes 87.1% 57.41 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 1?Yes 35% 28.57 shares