Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $10.45
- Potential payout
- $18.82
- Potential profit
- $8.38
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Polymarket Trader
0xb14c...b513
0xb14cef54da2aa2caf3a21fd45274d399237eb513
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $52.57
- Realized PnL
- $1.71
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $5.11
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $8.89
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $2.49
- Potential payout
- $12.75
- Potential profit
- $10.26
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $2.19
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $10.31
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.81
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $1.4
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.6
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $4.17
- Potential payout
- $9.8
- Potential profit
- $5.64
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $4.9
- Potential payout
- $9.16
- Potential profit
- $4.26
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $4.15
- Potential payout
- $8.65
- Potential profit
- $4.5
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
No position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $4.64
- Potential payout
- $8.14
- Potential profit
- $3.5
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.4%
- Current value
- $3.36
- Potential payout
- $8.12
- Potential profit
- $4.76
- Multiplier
- 2.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $3.33
- Potential payout
- $7.93
- Potential profit
- $4.6
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $6.4
- Potential payout
- $6.51
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.52
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.88
No position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.89
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.64
No position
Will Innio's market cap be between $17B and $20B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43
No position
Will Warsh say "Groupthink" or "Group Think" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
No position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.38
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.81
No position
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.25 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.39
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.72
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 42.4% 8.12 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes 49% 9.16 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Yes 75% 6.51 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?Yes 33% 14 shares
- Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.25 Week of July 6 2026?No 45% 14.2 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?No 64.7% 13.86 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No 58% 8.14 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 54% 18 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 98.9% 2 shares
- Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?No 24% 12.75 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No 70% 8.11 shares
- Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?Yes 26% 13 shares