Polymarket Trader

harrypotterr

@tommyto31797993

0xb15b740e8437cf9e90160b66587d615a2c8b5215

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $275.39
Realized PnL: $32.93K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.14K
Potential profit: $20.14K
User PnL: -$6.73K

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.82K
Potential profit: $7.82K
User PnL: -$5.25K

Yes position

Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.34K
Potential profit: $5.34K
User PnL: -$2.25K

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.39K
Potential profit: $4.39K
User PnL: -$2.37K

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $1.49K
User PnL: -$461.54

Yes position

Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $5.08
Potential payout: $1.45K
Potential profit: $1.45K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$149.17

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $7.87
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $1.2K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$223.85

No position

Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $1.21K
User PnL: -$667.44

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$48.03

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $40.25
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.06K
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$142.09

Yes position

Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $13.56
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $990.81
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$571.19

Yes position

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $3.33
Potential payout: $950
Potential profit: $946.68
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$120.56

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $92
Potential payout: $799.98
Potential profit: $707.98
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$116

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.6%
Current value: $82.4
Potential payout: $400.01
Potential profit: $317.6
Multiplier: 4.85x
User PnL: -$148.8

No position

Will the 10-year Treasury hit 4.40% (HIGH) in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $267.62
Potential profit: $267.62
User PnL: -$185.77

No position

Will the 10-year Treasury hit 4.15% (LOW) in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $30
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $13.8

Yes position

Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $0.91
Potential payout: $22
Potential profit: $21.09
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$12.54

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.12K

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9K

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.48K

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.61K

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.27K

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17K

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04K

No position

Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.87K

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19K

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $769.8

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $667.51

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 24?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $590.55

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $578.75

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $530.75

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $506.98

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $438.93

No position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $393.44

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $329.75

Yes position

Will Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $326.95

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $311.34

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 10?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $267.75

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.3

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.96

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.95

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?

No 19.9% 4,580.21 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

No 96.9% 26.57 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?

No 83% 1,002.11 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

No 92.1% 190.83 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?

No 89.2% 9.96 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

No 91.8% 14.95 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?

No 81% 307.01 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?

No 63% 206.12 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?

No 72% 4,706.74 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?

No 79% 1,679.58 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?

No 77% 1,397.65 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?

No 76% 128.75 shares