No position
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $40.52
- Potential payout
- $120.96
- Potential profit
- $80.44
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$7.86
Polymarket Trader
idealmarion
0xb162a41d5dd39ef0a2a791a88fd2a2368cd3fa5e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $40.52
- Realized PnL
- -$37.54
- Win rate
- 13.3%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Leonardo Borrelli position
ITF Grado: Sebastian Sorger vs Leonardo Borrelli
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $107.83
- Potential profit
- $107.83
- User PnL
- -$6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $2.44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in June?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Yes position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$1.92
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- -$2.07
N
No position
Will Adriano Espaillat win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by 10% or more?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4.09
No position
Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$5.59
Yes position
Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$9.96
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 25?No 70% 20.32 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 24?No 77% 46.61 shares
- Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?No 83% 52.06 shares
- Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?Yes 23.3% 35 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?No 74.1% 79.67 shares
- Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in June?No 78% 16.36 shares
- Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?No 67% 7.58 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 20% 192.28 shares
- Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?Yes 33% 142.25 shares
- ITF Grado: Sebastian Sorger vs Leonardo BorrelliLeonardo Borrelli 5.6% 107.83 shares