Polymarket Trader

0xB177bECf01847ED1cF16aF8d69995A62158fceEE-1767870250402

0xb177becf01847ed1cf16af8d69995a62158fceee

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $476.54
Realized PnL: $68.8
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $65
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.94K
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: $15

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $7
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.99K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $144.64
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $926.79
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$5.36

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $58.67
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $961.73
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $8.67

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $17.57
Potential payout: $576.19
Potential profit: $558.62
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $5.57

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $6.94
Potential payout: $555.56
Potential profit: $548.61
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$3.06

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $6.3
Potential payout: $434.78
Potential profit: $428.48
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$3.7

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $9.17
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $407.5
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $38.04
Potential payout: $276.68
Potential profit: $238.63
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: -$7.96

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $31.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $218.88
Multiplier: 8.03x
User PnL: $11.13

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.08
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $51.51
Potential payout: $163.52
Potential profit: $112.01
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $1.51

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.89
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $70.54
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.11

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.3%
Current value: $3.89
Potential payout: $47.17
Potential profit: $43.28
Multiplier: 12.12x
User PnL: -$1.11

No position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $14.13
Potential payout: $34.88
Potential profit: $20.76
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$0.87

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 9.9%
Current value: $3.05
Potential payout: $30.93
Potential profit: $27.88
Multiplier: 10.15x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $6.65
Potential payout: $22.54
Potential profit: $15.89
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$9.35

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$7.4

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $11.37
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $4.76
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $6.37

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Multiplier: 1.73x
User PnL: $65.31

Yes position

Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.98

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.9%
Multiplier: 5.31x
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.8% 6.21 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Yes 47.5% 68.74 shares
Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Yes 14% 714.29 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Yes 71.4% 185.87 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 0.5% 2,000 shares
Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Yes 14% 357.14 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Yes 39.3% 254.62 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 67% 14.93 shares
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 30.6% 163.52 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 8% 250 shares
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Yes 0.6% 166.67 shares
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?

Yes 2.4% 416.67 shares