Polymarket Trader

0xB186eC58BE2dc4F5776D2568E2B91e30A6521ad9-1769876990827

0xb186ec58be2dc4f5776d2568e2b91e30a6521ad9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $44.31
Realized PnL: $324.42
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $332.83
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $220.78
Potential profit: $220.78
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $110.61
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Revolut IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $6.35
Potential payout: $97.75
Potential profit: $91.4
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$13.65

Yes position

Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.59
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.32
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $16.95
Potential payout: $66.45
Potential profit: $49.51
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$3.05

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 22.2%
Current value: $11.84
Potential payout: $53.32
Potential profit: $41.48
Multiplier: 4.50x
User PnL: $1.84

Yes position

Will Bernie Sanders's remarks not air?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.32
Potential profit: $41.32
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.5
Potential profit: $35.5
User PnL: -$1.86

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.63
Potential profit: $29.63
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $3.09
Potential payout: $29.44
Potential profit: $26.35
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$1.91

No position

Will Dell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 12+ times during earnings call?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.89
Potential profit: $25.89
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the S&P 500 (SPX) open at 6900–7000 on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $22.78
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $21.05
Potential profit: $19.05
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.7
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$3.7

Yes position

Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.84
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$3.84

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.52

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.62

No position

Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.71

No position

Will "Knee injury" be said at the Super Bowl?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.79

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.73

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.68

Yes position

Will Trump say "Tariff" 6+ times during meetings with Chancellor Merz?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.23

No position

Will Trump say "Kennedy" or "Autism" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.81

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.16

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.66

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.42

Yes position

Will Trump say "Friend of Mine" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.29

Yes position

Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.86

Yes position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.42

Yes position

Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.07

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 48% 4.17 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 50% 10 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 71% 1.41 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 64% 1.56 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 63% 3.17 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 65% 9.23 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 65% 9.23 shares
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?

No 57% 1.75 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Yes 27% 18.52 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 63.4% 1.58 shares
Will Starmer say "Europe" during the next PMQ?

Yes 10% 10 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 64% 7.81 shares