No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $53.88K
- Potential payout
- $57.11K
- Potential profit
- $3.23K
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $3.54K
Polymarket Trader
FrulliFrulla
0xb18cc2896c1c8f984dfad2ddf673306e3a2ab41e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $54.81K
- Realized PnL
- $14.03K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $726.77
- Potential payout
- $785.7
- Potential profit
- $58.93
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $3.93
Yes position
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $2.7
- Potential payout
- $199.98
- Potential profit
- $197.28
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$3.9
No position
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $152.76
- Potential payout
- $153.14
- Potential profit
- $0.38
- User PnL
- $1.91
Yes position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125.57
- Potential profit
- $125.57
- User PnL
- -$22.6
No position
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $41.64
- Potential payout
- $42
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- User PnL
- $0.61
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.05K
Yes position
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35K
No position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
No position
Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $793.8
Yes position
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $640.7
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $532.78
No position
Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $377.94
Yes position
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $314.67
No position
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $301.77
No position
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $297.9
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280
No position
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $260
Yes position
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $260
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $253.69
No position
Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $248
No position
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $236.4
No position
Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.03
Yes position
Will "Faze" be said at the Rotterdam Grand Final?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144
No position
Over $4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90
No position
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81
No position
Will Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70
No position
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70
No position
Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 92% 785.7 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No 92.1% 2,071.43 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by March 13?Yes 99.6% 1,768.55 shares
- New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?No 98.9% 29,592.38 shares
- Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes 93% 4,394.79 shares
- Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No 99.9% 13,020.65 shares
- Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?No 89.9% 75 shares
- Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?No 99.9% 5,373.84 shares
- Is Earth flat?No 99.9% 23,917.18 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No 96.4% 1,572.49 shares
- Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes 18% 125.57 shares
- Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes 65% 724.82 shares