Yes position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $128.87
- Potential payout
- $429.55
- Potential profit
- $300.69
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- -$231.18
Polymarket Trader
0xB196E43905123A597Cd2dD9Dae97C2352a47B14B-1766394039181
0xb196e43905123a597cd2dd9dae97c2352a47b14b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $449.35
- Realized PnL
- $7.44K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $230.48
- Potential payout
- $331.68
- Potential profit
- $101.2
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $86.74
Yes position
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $90
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $30
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $7.2
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.53
- Potential profit
- $8.53
- User PnL
- -$7.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.9K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $758.68
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $538.69
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $503.09
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $373.1
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $274.76
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $227.38
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.3
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $108.15
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.77
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $100
No position
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.72
No position
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.39
No position
US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $46.83
No position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.65
No position
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.7
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.05
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $33.1
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.67
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.59
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.74
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 20, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 84.9% 1,518.58 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 89.7% 1,998.54 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 88.6% 200 shares
- Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 56% 131.68 shares
- Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 86% 1,512.34 shares
- Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 78% 90 shares
- Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 80% 6.25 shares
- Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 82.6% 60.51 shares
- Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 87.7% 227.96 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 64.3% 671.96 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 60% 25.75 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 68.3% 2,000 shares