Polymarket Trader

0xb197b3324c548048eD77e65C990330E641be18fC-1779329903607

0xb197b3324c548048ed77e65c990330e641be18fc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $87.57
Realized PnL: $64.04
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $9.49
Potential payout: $165.04
Potential profit: $155.55
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $0.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.89
Potential profit: $108.89
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $31.88
Potential payout: $33.19
Potential profit: $1.31
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $9.14

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$16.7

Paper Rex position

Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $12.88
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $12.13
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$6.48

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $10.89
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $7.11
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $14.64
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $1.36
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $4.24

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $7.8
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $2.2
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$7.7

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.59
Potential profit: $6.59
User PnL: -$6.06

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$4.8

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 22?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$5.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.86
Potential profit: $2.86
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.14

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.3

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.74

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.14

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.37

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 18-24?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.24

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.09

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.34

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.28

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.11

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.93

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

No position

Israel closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 47% 20 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 19.5% 18.9 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 94.3% 2.4 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Down 9.2% 108.89 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

Up 95% 10.53 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 91% 10.8 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?

No 97.7% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Up 8% 3.37 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Up 95% 1.05 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Up 85% 1.18 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Up 87% 1.15 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Down 97% 5.15 shares