Yes position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $4.79
- Potential payout
- $870.78
- Potential profit
- $865.99
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$57.21
Polymarket Trader
0xb19a6fF4C6027C72AaDbFfaC80939735ac38d054-1774465214056
0xb19a6ff4c6027c72aadbffac80939735ac38d054
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $153.85
- Realized PnL
- -$78
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $66.82
- Potential payout
- $460.82
- Potential profit
- $394
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$58.18
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $6.19
- Potential payout
- $458.69
- Potential profit
- $452.49
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$4.81
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $42.84
- Potential payout
- $342.7
- Potential profit
- $299.87
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$121.16
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Current value
- $19.77
- Potential payout
- $316.39
- Potential profit
- $296.62
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.23
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $2.23
- Potential payout
- $54.95
- Potential profit
- $52.72
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$2.77
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $11.21
- Potential payout
- $16.13
- Potential profit
- $4.92
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $1.21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Iran strike France by March 31?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 20% 20 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 9.1% 54.95 shares
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?Yes 23% 108.7 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 2.4% 458.69 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 6.1% 16.39 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes 5% 100 shares
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?Yes 24% 20.83 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 30% 33.33 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 9% 300 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?Yes 0.2% 1,000 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?Yes 0.1% 3,000 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?Yes 0.2% 1,000 shares