Polymarket Trader

Jjw

0xb1a190be02cafacb6c30b98beb621503d5e2d308

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $42.7K
Realized PnL: $10.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $5.54K
Potential payout: $5.65K
Potential profit: $110.2
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $294.27

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $4.18K
Potential payout: $4.22K
Potential profit: $37.98
User PnL: $115.1

No position

Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $3.45K
Potential payout: $3.57K
Potential profit: $119.58
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $289.35

No position

McDonald's CEO out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $3.25K
Potential payout: $3.3K
Potential profit: $52.79
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $129.22

No position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $2.71K
Potential payout: $3.2K
Potential profit: $496.39
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$19.11

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $3.07K
Potential payout: $3.08K
Potential profit: $10.77
User PnL: $57.88

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $2.81K
Potential payout: $2.94K
Potential profit: $129.5
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $14.8

No position

Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $2.62K
Potential payout: $2.67K
Potential profit: $49.32
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $97.65

No position

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $1.86K
Potential payout: $1.88K
Potential profit: $21.67
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $66.58

No position

Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $1.42K
Potential payout: $1.63K
Potential profit: $203.24
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $75.17

No position

Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $1.26K
Potential payout: $1.32K
Potential profit: $65.58
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$8.33

No position

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $1.19K
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $9.58
User PnL: $60.31

No position

Will Scotland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $1.17K
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $17.77
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $10.57

No position

Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $1.03K
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $133.74
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $22.59

No position

Anthropic CEO arrested?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $1.1K
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $7.19
User PnL: $22.06

No position

Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $967.17
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $56.83
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$2.78

No position

Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $855.61
Potential payout: $870.85
Potential profit: $15.24
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $40.67

No position

Will Ecuador reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $785.73
Potential payout: $800.54
Potential profit: $14.81
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.53

No position

Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $788.63
Potential payout: $794.19
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: $38.48

No position

Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $603.74
Potential payout: $634.85
Potential profit: $31.11
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $66.58

No position

Katy Perry confirmed pregnant by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $603.86
Potential payout: $624.79
Potential profit: $20.93
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$5.93

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $50 on the final trading day of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $519.59
Potential payout: $523.78
Potential profit: $4.19
User PnL: $34.07

Yes position

Will Curaçao be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $483.81
Potential payout: $495.96
Potential profit: $12.15
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.79

Yes position

Will Haiti be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 95.3%
Current value: $439.38
Potential payout: $461.29
Potential profit: $21.91
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$3.81

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Aug 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08K

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $926.43

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $800.76

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $729.92

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $569.12

Yes position

Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $479.85

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $466.79

Yes position

Will there be at least 1700 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $465.24

Yes position

Circle IPO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $438.95

No position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $438.32

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $366.65

Yes position

Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $346.08

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $342.44

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $337.17

No position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $332.3

No position

Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $320.16

No position

Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $259.38

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $255.91

No position

Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240.71

No position

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $237.34

Yes position

Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $235.88

Yes position

Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $228.78

Yes position

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $226.9

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $217.52

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

No 89% 453 shares
Will Pete Hegseth attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

No 97.7% 78.99 shares
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Yes 20% 480.89 shares
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Yes 23.7% 65.11 shares
Will Curaçao be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Yes 98% 110 shares
Will Curaçao be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Yes 97.9% 31.2 shares
Will Ecuador reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

No 98.4% 20 shares
Will Ecuador reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

No 98.4% 20 shares
Will Ecuador reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

No 98.4% 20 shares
Will Ecuador reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

No 98.4% 22.9 shares
Will Ecuador reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

No 98.3% 7.02 shares
Will Ecuador reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

No 98.4% 20 shares