No position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $689.79K
- Potential profit
- $689.79K
- User PnL
- -$346.58K
Polymarket Trader
TwoEyes
@two_gifts_
0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $80K
- Realized PnL
- $846.33K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $147.01K
- Potential profit
- $147.01K
- User PnL
- -$12.77K
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $7.42K
- Potential payout
- $131.27K
- Potential profit
- $123.86K
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$3.86K
No position
Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110K
- Potential profit
- $110K
- User PnL
- -$627.11
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.99K
- Potential profit
- $62.99K
- User PnL
- -$10.46K
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.3%
- Current value
- $15.12K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $34.87K
- Multiplier
- 3.31x
- User PnL
- -$1.8K
Yes position
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.91K
- Potential profit
- $48.91K
- User PnL
- -$7.66K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.95K
- Potential profit
- $46.95K
- User PnL
- -$4.13K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.48K
- Potential profit
- $40.48K
- User PnL
- -$5.73K
Yes position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.95K
- Potential profit
- $37.95K
- User PnL
- -$9.5K
Yes position
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.26K
- Potential profit
- $30.26K
- User PnL
- -$9.26K
Bills position
Bills vs. Dolphins
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $30K
- User PnL
- -$24.6K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $29.95K
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $45
- User PnL
- $20.35K
Yes position
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.04K
- Potential profit
- $25.04K
- User PnL
- -$2.84K
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $7.62K
- Potential payout
- $23.81K
- Potential profit
- $16.19K
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- $3.76K
Lakers position
Suns vs. Lakers
Ends Oct 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22K
- Potential profit
- $22K
- User PnL
- -$9.46K
Yes position
Up Only podcast released by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.73K
- Potential profit
- $21.73K
- User PnL
- -$10.86K
Yes position
Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.89K
- Potential profit
- $20.89K
- User PnL
- -$969.96
Yes position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.36K
- Potential profit
- $20.36K
- User PnL
- -$1.61K
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $19.88K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- $280
No position
Lighter FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.72K
- Potential profit
- $14.72K
- User PnL
- -$1.03K
Yes position
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.42K
- Potential profit
- $13.42K
- User PnL
- -$5.35K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.47K
- Potential profit
- $12.47K
- User PnL
- -$1.3K
Rams position
49ers vs. Rams
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.81K
- Potential profit
- $10.81K
- User PnL
- -$4.76K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.4K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.02K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.02K
No position
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.63K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.06K
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.59K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.95K
No position
Will Trump say "Crypto" during Elon interview?
Ends Aug 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.74K
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.51K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.21K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.98K
No position
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.84K
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.11K
Chargers position
Broncos vs. Chargers
Ends Sep 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.77K
Giants position
Eagles vs. Giants
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.77K
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.4K
Yes position
Israel military response against Iran in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.98K
No position
Caroline Ellison not sentenced to prison?
Ends Sep 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.47K
Yes position
Biden drops out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.47K
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.05K
Red Sox position
Red Sox vs. Yankees
Ends Oct 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.59K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.15K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.81K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.8K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 20% 2,891.79 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 12% 18,807.8 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?No 98% 6,126.03 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 84% 10,677.76 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.7% 200,000 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 65% 2,011.03 shares
- Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Yes 31% 4,639.96 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 32% 1,644.46 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 42.2% 1,285 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 26% 2,187.61 shares
- UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)Sean Strickland 19% 5,000 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes 82% 95.46 shares