No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $115.82
- Potential payout
- $454.19
- Potential profit
- $338.37
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$20.84
Polymarket Trader
User99999999
0xb1a714455e726e244e3dbd78af864c25669968f6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $892.26
- Realized PnL
- $318.72
- Win rate
- 43.8%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.6%
- Current value
- $398.47
- Potential payout
- $450
- Potential profit
- $51.53
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$9.23
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $157.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $142.5
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$43.5
Vitality position
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $277.01
- Potential profit
- $277.01
- User PnL
- -$142.03
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $80.47
- Potential payout
- $240.56
- Potential profit
- $160.09
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$111.98
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $140
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $60
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- $8
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $82.28
- Potential profit
- $82.28
- User PnL
- -$65
FURIA position
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 1 Winner
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Spirit position
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.7
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.5
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $64.52
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.53
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $5.29
Yes position
Will s1zzi have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 54%
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- $1.68
Vitality position
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.09
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.1%
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Yes position
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.6%
- Multiplier
- 3.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.84
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4.01
TheMongolz position
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.8
Vitality position
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.85
BetBoom Team position
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$35.5
TheMongolz position
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$49.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 66% 200 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 34% 29.29 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 33% 6 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 32% 99.99 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 31% 114.44 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 28% 204.47 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 72% 195.53 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 39% 100 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?Yes 68% 101.99 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes 71% 109.92 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 80% 240.56 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 67% 300 shares