Polymarket Trader

OVOXOSM

0xb1aad9392ed144ad577e2e55fb83c783e52e16cf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.05K
Realized PnL: $43.39K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $329.58
Potential payout: $330.08
Potential profit: $0.5
User PnL: $29.58

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.2%
Current value: $109.16
Potential payout: $310.56
Potential profit: $201.4
Multiplier: 2.84x
User PnL: $59.16

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $203.06
Potential payout: $243.19
Potential profit: $40.13
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $3.06

No position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $209.48
Potential payout: $212.99
Potential profit: $3.51
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $9.48

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $103.06
Potential payout: $204.08
Potential profit: $101.02
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $3.06

No position

Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $97.87
Potential payout: $140.85
Potential profit: $42.97
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$2.13

No position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $128.02
Potential payout: $128.53
Potential profit: $0.51
User PnL: $28.02

No position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $127.63
Potential payout: $128.21
Potential profit: $0.58
User PnL: $27.63

Over position

Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $100.6
Potential payout: $123.46
Potential profit: $22.85
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.61

No position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $99.38
Potential payout: $123.46
Potential profit: $24.07
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$0.62

No position

World Cup: Ronaldo to Score a Free Kick?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $110.32
Potential payout: $114.2
Potential profit: $3.88
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $10.32

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 83.3%
Current value: $94.68
Potential payout: $113.73
Potential profit: $19.05
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$5.32

Under position

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $42.86
Potential payout: $109.89
Potential profit: $67.03
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: -$57.14

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 68.2%
Current value: $74.4
Potential payout: $109.17
Potential profit: $34.77
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: $24.4

Under position

Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $98.39
Potential payout: $107.53
Potential profit: $9.14
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$1.61

No position

Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $104.7
Potential payout: $107.11
Potential profit: $2.41
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $4.7

Atlanta Braves position

Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $19.44
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $17.59
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$0.56

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.45K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.54K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.4K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.15K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.97K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.61K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?

Yes 45.8% 109.17 shares
Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5

Under 93% 107.53 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

No 71% 140.85 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

No 81% 123.46 shares
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5

Over 81% 123.46 shares
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winner

Hanwha Life Esports 85.7% 116.72 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 15% 74.07 shares
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5

Under 94% 106.38 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

No 74% 135.14 shares
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5

Over 80% 125 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 49% 204.08 shares
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winner

Bilibili Gaming 50% 20 shares